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Archive for the ‘Braves’ Category

The final rosters do not have to be finalized until Sunday afternoon, but looking at what we know today, here’s how I see it in the NL East:

Pos Mets Marlins Braves Nats Phils
C Barajas Baker McCann Rodriguez Ruiz
1B Jacobs Sanchez Glaus Dunn Howard
2B Castillo Uggla Prado Kennedy Utley
SS Cora Ramirez Escobar Desmond Rollins
3B Wright Cantu Jones Zimmerman Polanco
LF Bay Coughlin Cabrera Willingham Ibanez
CF Pagan Maybin McLouth Morgan Victorino
RF Francoeur Ross Heyward Harris Werth
OF Catalanotto Carroll Diaz Bernadina Fransisco
OF Matthews Jr.
Bonofacio Hinske Morse Gload
IF Carter Helms Infante Gonzalez Dobbs
IF Tatis Lamb Thurston Guzman Castro
C Blanco Paulino Ross Nieves Schneider
SP Santana Johnson Hudson Lannan Halladay
SP Pelfrey Nolasco Lowe Marquis Hamels
SP Maine Sanchez Jurrjens Stammen Happ
SP Perez Volstad Hanson
Hernandez Kendrick
SP Niese Robertson Kawakami Mock Moyer
RP Rodriguez Nunez Wagner Capps Madson
RP Igarashi Sanchez Moylan Olsen Baez
RP Feliciano Meyer Saito Bruney Zagurski
RP Mejia Veres Medlin Clippard Durbin
RP Calero Hensley Reyes Burnett Bastardo
RP Figueroa Pinto Chavez
Bergmann Lopez
25th Adams Barden Conrad Batista Ransom
  • Mets: Beltran, Reyes, Takahashi, Nieve, Tejada, Santos, Escobar, Murphy, Parnell, Green, Dessens, Muniz
  • Braves: Freeman, Hicks, Sammons, Boscan, Schafer, Young, Proctor, Venters, O’Flaherty
  • Marlins: Badenhop, Richar, Davis, Luna, Murphy
  • Nats: English, Martis, James, Walker, Spier, Orr, Coste, Taveras, Maxwell, McDougal, Wang, Detwiller, Duncan, Bruntlett, Flores
  • Phillies: Blanton, Lidge, Romero, Valdez, Guzman, Hoover, Brown, Wise

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I guess given the Marlins hot start this year, the Florida Marlins brain trust has mistakenly bought into that their early season success is more of the trend, than a fluke. It seems they really are banking on Emilio Bonifacio as an everyday player, rather than as a super sub. In doing so, they have done something that Bobby Cox would never do. As, each year, the Braves decide on a newcomer they will take North with them. They ease them into the lineup, and realize as a young player there will be first year growing pains. They take into account that a young players mental psyche must be nurtured, and that any decision made in regards to that player must take that factor into account.

Even Lou Piniella, who has a track record of not being one of the best at developing young players, knows about this. It would have been so easy after Carl Crawford initially struggled with his bat in his rookie season, to send him down. But, the Rays stuck with him and Crawford became a better hitter long term because of the experience at hitting in the 9 hole. Eventually, his bat came around and he has built on that year ever since.

If you decide that your young player you plan on building the team around for years to come is ready, you expect that he will be inserted into the lineup from the time he takes the field opening day, for the next 10 years. You do things to take the pressure of the player as he gets used to being a big league player. You expect that in that first year their will be peaks and valleys. The number one thing you don’t do is give up to him after 6 weeks.

In Cameron Maybin, you know what you are going to get with him. He does not have the plate discipline. He has shown to be a free swinger in his minor league career. He does have power and speed. He can play a decent center field. Why in the world do you send him down as the season is quite early, and sure you may be in somewhat in a pennant race.But, is Cameron Maybin the reason that the starting pitching has yet to secure a win in weeks?

This move in itself will not do Maybin much harm physically going down and working on his skills. However, I wonder what lasting effects this will have on Maybin. Are you willing to possibly damage Maybin, by calling him out, when Bonofacio is another player who has been struggling as much. This move of sending Cameron Maybin to the minors makes you question the Marlins front office. Unless they plan is to make Emilio’s Bonifacio into a utility player after his early struggles, I don’t understand how this move helps the Marlins franchise.

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After the Phillies unveiled their new Utley-Howard-Ibanez batting order combination (all of which are left handed batters) against the Braves on opening day, it appears Charlie Manuel has already scrapped that plan after the group went the 0-11. They have inserted Werth after Howard breaking up all the left handed batters. It didn’t even take a left handed starter to force the batting order change.

Update: Ken Rosenthal mentioned the Charlie Manuel’s lineup tinkering

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What a difference a year makes. At this time last year Jordan Schafer was suspended for the “so called” HGH positive test. Now, lets fast forward a year and take you to where this remarkable journey begins again. Jordan Schafer earned a spot in the Braves starting lineup, with the second consecutive spring where he showed he does in fact have a bat to go with his fine defensive play. He did the unthinkable and homered in his first at bat. I can’t say I didnt tell you so. Now, for the guys at ESPN like Jon Miller, his name is Jordan Schafer, not Logan Schafer!

A year later, I’d still take Schafer over Maybin .

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With Mike Hampton having injury after injury since 2005, the fact that he was scheduled for a start this past Thursday had many people thinking how long will he last before he is hurt again. This was after he suffered a minor injury this spring, but managed to get past it and land a spot in the rotation. I was looking forward to seeing how he would do and it would be quite a milestone after Hampton has been sidlined for such a long time. I did not make to a TV until the game had already started, and when I turned on the TV to my surprise I see Jeff Bennett of the Braves pitching. I should have known better? At first, the word was that Hampton was scratched and their were not any specific details. I was hoping that maybe they held him out for the poor weather. But, we should know better about Hampton by now. The diganosis is that he has a strained pectoral muscle. The Braves have listed it as minor injury and that he would be day-to-day. But, they did place him on the 15 day disabled list. In doing a quick scan of the web on what the timeline for coming back from an injury like this would be, I found this:

Aaron Brooks will be sidelined two to four weeks with a strained pectoral muscle, giving the Raiders’ starting quarterback job to second-year player Andrew Walter

Also, it seems LeBron James came down with what was believed to be a strained pectoral in 2005, but:

team physicians initially thought James had a strained pectoral muscle, but tests revealed pleurisy, an inflammation of the thin layers of tissue covering the lungs and chest cavity.

“I know what a plural is,” James joked. “But I’ve never heard of pleurisy.”

Just like Rocco Baldelli, Hampton seems like it will take a stroke of luck to ever get back on the field.

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It was MLBTR with their weighing in on the Barry Bonds situation. Originally, I had Braves #1 on possible landing:

1. Braves: The Braves have career backup Matt Diaz slated to be the starter. Bonds could serve a role here.

7. Rays: He would just have to beat out Gomes at DH. Baldelli eventually would have to get hurt also.

However, as one reader graciously told me :

Perhaps you don’t realize that Hank Aaron is a Vice President with the Braves organization, and one of the most loved figures in Atlanta sports history (along with Dale Murphy and most members of the ‘91 Braves team).

The Braves fans would revolt if Bonds, who most likely used performance enhancing drugs to break Aaron’s record, was even CONSIDERED by Frank Wren and the rest of Atlanta’s management.

In Phil Rogers, I don’t take alot of stock usually in what he says. But, I guess he was grasping at straws like I was in finding a place where Bonds might fit in.

As far as the Bonds in a brand spanking new Rays uniform, I did say that I thought there was a chance that Rays would explore Bonds. I sort of felt a little misquoted here though. I thought public opinion would factor heavily on what Mr. Friedman and Mr. Sternberg decided to do on this issue. The fact that you have not heard the brain trust all out dismiss it, there is still a chance of it happening. We did hear Friedman say he should be fired if he did not look into something that would help this team out.

After spending a lot of time cleansing the clubhouse this off-season, it would be a change as Bonds will come with a lot of baggage wherever he goes. The good thing to come out of this it has been seeing Carl Crawford speaking up about Rays franchise.

Usually when a player speaks up about the Rays, its usually a player throwing a player under the bus. The tirades we saw out of Delmon when he did not get the major league recall a few years ago, and the episode last season where our manager took him out of the game come to mind.

I still find it hard to envision Bonds playing again as in this now public testimony , it seems like Bonds and baseball are so divided.

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In 2007, Jake Peavy was rewarded with his first Cy Young award as a 19 time game winner, while pitching most of his games in pitcher friendly Petco Park. His progression from one of the best best power pitching prospects in baseball, to one of the best pitchers in all of baseball seemed to have started in 2005. But, after the impressive 2005 season, his 2006 season was slightly a disappointment. But, fantasy owners who showed him the faith got to witness a Tom Seaver like season. With the 19 wins, an ERA of 2.54, a WHIP at 1.06, strikeout rate of 9.67 per 9 innings (which amounted to 240 Ks), these pitching numbers were the equivalent of a hitter winning the triple crown.

One thing I thought is interesting about Peavy, is he is a balanced flyball/ ground ball pitcher.

Name GB BABIP TB BB HR SO/9 DIPS ERA WHIP TEAM DER
Peavy 254 .266 253 68 13 9.67 2.76 2.54 1.06 .7125 (6th)

For example, his teammate Chris Young who had a real nice season in 2007 had only 131 ground balls (GB) on the season, where as two other very good pitchers in Brandon Webb and Hudson had over 400 ground balls on the season.

Name GB BABIP TB BB HR SO/9 DIPS ERA WHIP TEAM DER
Hudson 441 .281 298 53 10 5.30 3.40 3.33 1.22 .7188 (7th)
Webb 431 .277 295 72 12 7.39 3.18 3.01 1.19 .7066(10th)
Lowe 398 .278 293 59 20 6.64 3.89 3.88 1.27 .6991 (16th)
Oswalt 361 .300 324 60 14 6.54 3.51 3.18 1.33 .6997(15th)
Maddux 359

.297

326

25

14

4.73

3.55

4.14

1.24

.7125(6th)

The balls that are put in play on the ground are much harder to turn an out with than fly balls are as indicated by higher BABIP.

Name GB BABIP TB BB HR SO/9 DIPS ERA WHIP TEAM DER
James, C 157

.264

295 58 32 6.47 5.19 4.24 1.38 .7188 (7th)
Young, C 131

.235

183 72 10 8.69 3.43 3.12 1.10 .7125 (6th)

With Ground ball pitchers, the success the pitcher exhibits depends highly on the defense. Where as, fly balls are easier to make an out with. If a pitcher that is balanced like Peavy, he gets the benefits of getting the easier outs with the fly balls, and have the infield defense to help you out on the ground balls. A stat that measures this is Defensive Efficiency Ratio (DER ) :

measures the percentage of times balls in play are turned into outs by the team’s fielders, not including homeruns. There are different versions of the formula for DER but one most commonly used is (BFP-H-K-BB-HBP-0.6*E)/(BFP-HR-K-BB-HBP) where BFP = batters faced pitcher, H=hits allowed, K=strikeouts, BB=walks allowed, HBP=hits batsmen and E=errors

Thus, for these ground ball pitchers in 2007, How did their defense help them is worth taking a look at.

Projection GB BABIP TEAM DER
Hudson 441 .281 .7188 (7th)
Webb 431 .277 .7066(10th)
Lowe 398 .278 .6991 (16th)
Oswalt 361 .300 .6997(15th)
Maddux 359

.297

.7125(6th)

So, all these pitchers with the high number of ground balls, are backed with defenses that are good at making outs when the ball gets in play. Take some of these pitchers, and place them with a bad defense, it would be interesting how there numbers would turn out.

One last thing I decided to do was take a look at the Range of the infielders involved in these good ground ball pitchers. I used Dave Pinto’s PMR:

uses play-by-play data to determine the probability of a ball in play being converted to an out based on six parameters: Direction of hit (a vector), The type of hit (Fly, ground, line drive, bunt), How hard the ball was hit (slow, medium, hard), The park, The handedness of the pitcher, The handedness of the batter.

Arizona (99.87 19th)

C 1B 2B SS 3B
96.26 (24th) 99.98 (14th) 104.12 (4th) 100.82 (11th) 94.61 (28th)

Braves (100.66 10th)

C 1B 2B SS 3B
115.67(2nd) 104.28(7th) 97.70 (22nd) 99.22 (17th) 99.90 (15th)

San Diego (100.08 17th)

C 1B 2B SS 3B
95.97 (25th) 105.21 (5th) 96.61 (27th) 98.44(22nd) 98.37 (18th)

Los Angeles (99.87 20th)

C 1B 2B SS 3B
108.91 (5th) 97.07 (19th) 96.99 (25th) 105.60 (3rd) 100.85 (14th)

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bondsaway.jpg

Early on in the baseball career of Barry Bonds, he was known as one of the Pittsburgh Pirates Killer B’s. With the numbers Bonds was putting up on scoreboards throughout Major League Baseball for the Pirates in the early 90′s , he won two National League Most Valuable Player (MVP) awards, and was proving to be one of the all-time greats. This was at a time the thought of Bonds breaking the all-time season Home run record 0f 61 home runs was certainly not on the radar, as his greatness revolved around his all around offensive game, and the ability as one of the best left fielders in the game. But, this was all before steroids era.

After reaching free agency after the 1992 season, he moved to West Coast and signed a long term contract the San Fransisco Giants. As the son of former major leaguer Bobby Bonds, he was joining the franchise his Godfather Willie Mays became a legend with.

His amazing offensive numbers continued when he joined with the Giants in 1993. In his first year with the Giants, he won his third NL MVP. The amazing thing about Bonds numbers that is often ignored is the amount of times that pitchers would not give him a good pitch to swing at. With pitchers pitching around Bonds and that the fact that he was a selective hitter, this led to a high number of walks (known as bases on balls) which in effect accounted for his always high On Base Percentage (OBP).

In the decade between 1990 to 2000, Barry Bonds was a slugger with his bat. In this time period, he never had slugging percentage (SLG) fall below the .514 line, and 6 out of these 10 years he slugged above .600. These were terrific numbers representative of a Hall of Fame career.

But, in 1998 the NL slugging pair of Sammy Sosa and Mark McGwire were the talk of baseball parks around America. They were hitting home runs at a record pace, and two were gaining popularity and they were on a pace to beat Roger Marris’s all time season record of 61 home runs in a season. It was Sammy Sosa and Mark McGwire that are credited for bringing the baseball fans back, after the strike ending season of 1994 that had caused many fans to stay away from the Major League Baseball product.

It is believed that Barry Bonds became jealous of these two and their record setting home runs, and turned to steroids in a pursuit to become the all-time Home run king. It is believed that Bond’s trainer Greg Anderson supplied Barry Bonds with the steroids, and in the year of 2001 Bonds was hitting home runs at an unbelievable pace. In the year 2001, Bonds hit 73 Home Runs and shattered the all-time record of 70 that was put up by McGwire in 1998. Since 2001, no player has come even close to that number of home runs. For Bonds though, after three consecutive 40 something home run numbers in 2002-2004, he was in range now to breaking the all-time career home run record that Hall of Famer Hank Aaron currently held of 755 home runs.

In 2005, he missed almost the entire season due to a knee injury, and in 2006 he clearly was still battling injuries but managed 26 home runs.

But, last season as the entire baseball community watched on, at the age of 42 Bonds went on to break the all-time home run record of 755. He signed off on the season with the record staying at 762 Home runs. The Giants decided to cut ties with Bonds and his contract was not renewed. He clearly is not the same players he once was, but he still led Major League baseball with his OBP last year and clearly could still contribute to a Major League team.

With Major league teams reporting to their camps in Arizona and Florida, Bond remains unsigned and still wants to play. He is under indictment that he lied under oath to the Feds due to his steroid use. Just recently, their was a press clipping that Bonds failed a drug test for steroids a few years ago that all the media outlets distributed. That report turned out to be a typo, and now the Bonds camp can now take the position that he can not get a fair trial.

In recent months, with the Mitchell report being released the focus with steroids on an all-time great has moved away from Bonds to Roger Clemens. Bonds has been working out on his own looking for a chance to still play. Is he being blackballed from the game? Here is a look a eleven teams (ordered from likely to unlikely) who could actually use a Bonds in 2008:

  1. Braves: The Braves have career backup Matt Diaz slated to be the starter. Bonds could serve a role here.
  2. Diamondbacks: The D-Backs just signed Trot Nixon as a reserve. But, with a young outfielder in Justin Upton, he could play a backup and an occasional starter.
  3. Pirates: With often injured Xavier Nady listed as a starter, Bonds could return to where it all began for him. Though, it would take away playing time from the young player movement here.
  4. Padres: Chase Headley or Scott Hairston right now is slated to start. Bonds could stay on West Coast and start.
  5. Royals: This franchise is looking to become a player after not being competitive since Brett left. The outfield here has no household names currently.
  6. Orioles: With a lot of the young players here, Bonds could take a role as DH. With Aubrey Huff, being a utility player all over the field.
  7. Rays: He would just have to beat out Gomes at DH. Baldelli eventually would have to get hurt also.
  8. Mariners: Wilkerson tend to be injury prone. Bonds could serve as DH or in outfield.
  9. Rangers: They passed on Sammy. Maybe they would take on Bonds with this young team. Seems unlikely though.
  10. Twins: Seems like Delmon Young and Barry Bonds could see themselves in each other. Unlikely pairing.
  11. Tigers: He could be reunited with his former manager Jim Leyland. But, his friendship with Sheffield seems to be a factor here. So, unlikely.

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I just added a podcast feed to the Trophy League Planet. For newbies, a feed is a collection of sites I aggregate under a single web address. The address http://trophyleague.com/planetrss?group=podcasts features the six most recent or upcoming podcasts that are some of my favorites.

I listened to a podcast on Gotham Baseball interviewing former MLB player C.J. Nitkowski which is a good listen. He has a site called CJ Baseball .

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Even before their was the legend that is growing in David Wright, just about every publication was calling Andy Marte the best overall prospect in the land. But, there was this sleeper prospect named David Wright. He slugged his way through the minor leagues that year, and has gone one to become one of the stars of the game. Aside from his NL title of time on base in 2007 (that he shared with Todd Helton) , his off the field leadership does not go unnoticed. What he has accomplished on the field thus far, sure says Superstar. He knows batting average, slugging, getting on base, and stolen bases. The gold glove that he added last year continues to add to the resume.

This post on Ryan Theriot by Fire Joe Morgan is exactly why we visit the site. I could see Joe Morgan making similar claims in a broadcast that John Mutka does. Seems like Mutka should be up for deadspin’s “why your hometown columnist sucks” award.

John Rocker on Roids? His behavior on and off the field never fit the profile .

Seems Athletics Nation has a new look. But, seems other bloggers now getting a chance to interview Billy Beane.

I loved Kiner’s Corner growing up ON Mets in 1970′s.

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